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	<title>The Pencil Guy &#187; shinzo abe</title>
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		<title>EAS, round 2: energy deals grab broader attention</title>
		<link>http://hourann.com/blog/2007/01/20/eas-round-2-energy-deals-grab-broader-attention</link>
		<comments>http://hourann.com/blog/2007/01/20/eas-round-2-energy-deals-grab-broader-attention#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Jan 2007 01:47:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>azza-bazoo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[asean]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bird flu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[china]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[east asia summit]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[security]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[(Admittedly, this post is several days late; I blame family.) So the East Asia Summit for 2006 (er, 2007? 06-07? or something?) has drawn to a close, and although the institution is still new and finding its feet, this year has presented a few good signs that the Summit will have a successful future in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="font-style:italic">(Admittedly, this post is several days late; I blame family.)</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://www.12thaseansummit.org.ph/photogallery.asp?action=viewphoto&#038;page=1&#038;photoid=412&#038;fromgallery=1"><img src="http://hourann.com/photos/2007/eas-leaders-cebu.jpg" alt="Leaders at the second East Asia Summit, Cebu, Philippines. Creative Commons licence does not apply to this image." title="Unlike APEC, these meetings doesn't require funny shirts. Creative Commons licence does not apply to this image." style="border:none" /></a></p>
<p>So the <a href="http://www.aseansec.org/19302.htm">East Asia Summit</a> for 2006 (er, 2007? 06-07? or something?) has drawn to a close, and although the institution is still new and finding its feet, this year has presented a few good signs that the Summit will have a successful future in encouraging regional cooperation.</p>
<p>Aside from <a href="http://asiaworld.blogspot.com/2007/01/philippines-china-sign-20-agreements-to.html">several</a> <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/15/business/worldbusiness/15trade.html?_r=1&#038;oref=slogin">measures</a> to promote regional trade, the big announcement was a declaration that promises <a href="http://www.12thaseansummit.org.ph/innertemplate3.asp?category=news&#038;newsid=635">cooperation on &#8220;energy security&#8221;</a>, which is to say there&#8217;ll be a big push for investment in transmission and generation infrastructure. Assuming the declaration is followed through, there&#8217;ll also be a few token measures towards bio-fuels and renewable energy (though admittedly that&#8217;s better than nothing).</p>
<p>I think it&#8217;s illustrative that our local daily gave a big chunk of space on the business pages to <a href="http://thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=32&#038;ContentID=18796">an AP story</a> about the energy pact, which seems to mirror <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6261875.stm">several</a> <a href="http://english.people.com.cn/200701/15/eng20070115_341266.html">other</a> <a href="http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/latest/200701162106/energy_security_pact_signed_at_east_asia_summit">news</a> <a href="http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/01/15/business/asean.php">services</a> I&#8217;ve checked. In other words, talk of energy deals makes business leaders (or at least business press editors) stand up and take notice &#8212; which, if nothing else, has the benefit of giving the Summit some more widespread attention than it&#8217;d otherwise earn. On that front, the EAS has already done better than APEC meetings of <a href="http://hourann.com/blog/2006/11/21/when-a-full-post-is-just-too-hard">recent years</a>, none of which have produced anything quite as noteworthy.</p>
<p>Within that context, the Japanese government has already stepped forward with a donation of <a href="http://www.csr-asia.com/index.php?p=8717">US$2b for energy research</a>, yet another component in its long-term programme of being the region&#8217;s aid financier. Similarly, the AusAID <a href="http://www.ausaid.gov.au/media/release.cfm?BC=Media&#038;ID=4204_4390_2153_7693_9815">announcement</a> earlier in the week of $5m to combat bird flu was soundly trounced by a Japanese pledge of <a href="http://www.12thaseansummit.org.ph/innertemplate3.asp?category=news&#038;newsid=658">an additional US$67m</a>. These donations are important in the sense that they&#8217;re giving substance to the decisions being made at the EAS &#8212; which suggests that to some extent, the EAS is already getting things done. (On the other hand, though, Japan was donating money for disease prevention long before 2005.)</p>
<p>Speaking of Japan, simmering resentment between it and China earned barely a mention in most media coverage of the second Summit &#8212; unlike last time &#8212; and this is pretty much entirely due to Shinzo Abe <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/asiapcf/09/26/japan.politics/index.html">taking over</a> from Junichiro Koizumi as PM. Abe has made little in the way of significant changes to Japan&#8217;s dealings with China, but simply by not visiting the Yasukuni Shrine (<a href="http://asia.news.yahoo.com/060804/kyodo/d8j9m1ko0.html">as PM</a>) he has defused tensions enough that an entire section of <a href="http://hourann.com/blog/2006/10/27/finally">my thesis</a> is rendered obsolete. But that&#8217;s a good thing, because I argued that a rift between the region&#8217;s largest economies was the single biggest issue in the way of a successful EAS.</p>
<p>Interestingly, Russia wasn&#8217;t at the table this time around, even though its presence would have actually been relevant on <a href="http://www.upi.com/InternationalIntelligence/view.php?StoryID=20070117-122044-3384r">the question of oil supply</a> (so I suppose that ends the speculation from 2005 about whether it&#8217;d become a fully-fledged member!).</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.sunstar.com.ph/blogs/asean/">broader ASEAN Summit</a> (of which the EAS was one part) earned headlines for a <a href="http://www.aseansec.org/19250.htm">declaration about terrorism</a> and progress towards <a href="http://www.nationmultimedia.com/2007/01/13/headlines/headlines_30024043.php">an ASEAN Charter</a>, but otherwise there was little reaction to the events of the last 12 months. It is the ASEAN Way to not criticise any country&#8217;s domestic affairs in public, so there was nary a whimper about the fact that Thailand was represented by a military general. North Korea and Myanmar were both told off, the former about the <a href="http://www.12thaseansummit.org.ph/innertemplate3.asp?category=news&#038;newsid=656">6-party talks</a> and the latter for <a href="http://www.12thaseansummit.org.ph/innertemplate3.asp?category=news&#038;newsid=503">lacking democracy</a>, but these announcements have become yearly stalwarts. Beyond that, the only announcement that struck me as interesting was the plan for new <a href="http://www.12thaseansummit.org.ph/innertemplate3.asp?category=news&#038;newsid=570">university courses</a> as part of the cultural component of the forthcoming <a href="http://www.aseansec.org/19254.htm">ASEAN Community</a>.</p>
<p>As a final note, the most prominent mention that the Summit got in Australia was John Howard&#8217;s <a href="http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,21083424-421,00.html">stopover in Broome</a> on the way back. Frankly, were I in his shoes, I&#8217;d probably do the same &#8212; although I&#8217;d have covered my back for the inevitable &#8220;who paid for this?&#8221; squabbles <img src='http://hourann.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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