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	<title>The Pencil Guy &#187; violence</title>
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	<description>Hourann’s illogical blog</description>
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		<title>More unrest in Timor</title>
		<link>http://hourann.com/blog/2006/06/28/unrest-in-timor-carries-on-unabated</link>
		<comments>http://hourann.com/blog/2006/06/28/unrest-in-timor-carries-on-unabated#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Jun 2006 15:44:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>azza-bazoo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[anwar ibrahim]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[east timor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[malaysia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mari alkatiri]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[timor-leste]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[un secretary-general]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[violence]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pencilguy.dview.net/blog/2006/06/28/unrest-in-timor-carries-on-unabated</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve little to add to the interesting comments being made about Warren Buffet&#8217;s big donation, so I&#8217;ll talk about the other big news item to have been pushed aside by the soccer: Mari Alkatiri&#8217;s resignation over in Timor-Leste. It&#8217;s been two days now, and the ABC reports that protestors are clearing out of Dili, but [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve little to add to the <a href="http://www.whereistand.com/NP/13035">interesting</a> <a href="http://www.freakonomics.com/blog/2006/06/27/warren-buffet-swats-the-invisible-hand/">comments</a> being made about Warren Buffet&#8217;s <a href="http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&#038;ned=&#038;ie=UTF-8&#038;ncl=http://www.allheadlinenews.com/articles/7004031978">big donation</a>, so I&#8217;ll talk about the other big news item to have been pushed aside by the soccer: Mari Alkatiri&#8217;s <a href="http://blogs.guardian.co.uk/news/archives/2006/06/26/alkatiri_resigns_in_east_timor.html">resignation</a> over in Timor-Leste.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s been two days now, and the ABC reports that <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200606/s1674128.htm">protestors are clearing out of Dili</a>, but in many areas the protests seem to have degenerated into mob violence, <a href="http://timorsunshine.blogspot.com/2006/06/censorship-how-much-of-evil-is-it.html">fuelled by the ex-PM&#8217;s remarks</a> (Tumbleweed even asks if that makes a good case for censorship; normally I&#8217;d say no, but I do wonder &#8230;).</p>
<p>So my <a href="http://hourann.com/blog/2006/06/23/soccer-in-the-headlines-while-problems-in-dili-simmer">earlier fears</a> have not been appeased. Mari Alkatiri probably did the right thing by stepping down; I don&#8217;t know if the <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/pm/content/2006/s1673225.htm">accusations</a> against him are true, but he seemed like a destabilising force while still in power. Problem is, his resignation hasn&#8217;t helped defuse the situation, and could just leave things in a horribly fragile state unless he is replaced by a competent and popularly respected leader.</p>
<p>As a closing note, elsewhere in SE Asia: if <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anwar_Ibrahim">Anwar Ibrahim</a> does <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/anwar-ibrahim-asked-to-apply-for-top-un-job/2006/06/28/1151174262974.html">run for UN secretary-general</a> later this year, I wonder what the reaction in Malaysia will be like? Somehow I doubt <em>any</em> of the ASEAN states would want to vote for him in the General Assembly, for fear of offending his former party <a href="http://www.umno-online.com/" title="link in Bahasa Melayu">UMNO</a> &#8230;</p>
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		<title>Is Dili safer now, or not?</title>
		<link>http://hourann.com/blog/2006/05/31/is-dili-safer-now-or-not</link>
		<comments>http://hourann.com/blog/2006/05/31/is-dili-safer-now-or-not#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 May 2006 15:17:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>azza-bazoo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brigadier mick slater]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civil unrest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[east timor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[safety]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[timor-leste]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[today show]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[violence]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve noticed an unusual trend in the last few days while following stories about Timor-Leste (aka East Timor). All of the bloggers I can find who are on the ground are suggesting that things aren&#8217;t all that bad and they don&#8217;t feel particularly unsafe. Admittedly, Dili-gence mentions a lack of troops on the streets, and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve noticed an unusual trend in the last few days while following stories about Timor-Leste (aka East Timor). All of the bloggers I can find who are <a href="http://samanddaniel.blogspot.com/2006/05/east-timor-problems-our-family-are.html">on the ground</a> are suggesting that <a href="http://timordiver.blogspot.com/2006/05/boys-are-back-in-town-east-timor-30506.html">things aren&#8217;t all that bad</a> and they <a href="http://lookingglassview.blogspot.com/2006/05/quieting-down-and-yet.html">don&#8217;t feel particularly unsafe</a>. Admittedly, <a href="http://www.wombathole.com/dili-gence/">Dili-gence</a> mentions a lack of troops on the streets, and <a href="http://blog.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=blog.view&#038;friendID=80338870&#038;blogID=127151352">other posts</a> suggest that for some people the <a href="http://blog.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=blog.view&#038;friendID=29449529&#038;blogID=126100826">threat is quite real</a> &#8230; but <a href="http://timorsunshine.blogspot.com/">Tumbleweed</a> suggests things have improved to the point that a public peace march is possible.</p>
<p>Overall, this is a stark contrast to the <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/timor-mobs-wreak-havoc/2006/05/30/1148956346976.html">fairly scary stories</a> that are <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200605/s1651891.htm">filling</a> <a href="http://www.news.com.au/story/0,10117,19321877-2,00.html">the</a> <a href="http://au.news.yahoo.com/060531/19/z6ju.html">local</a> <a href="http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/looking-back-in-anger/2006/05/31/1148956416863.html">media</a>. Maybe the Australian journos who have invaded Dili are trying so hard to find front-page-worthy stories that what they&#8217;re uncovering is every single case of violence, rather than indicative samples of a large number of attacks &#8230;?</p>
<p>Even the bloke in charge of Australia&#8217;s troops (who&#8217;s done a remarkably diplomatic job talking to the media) thinks things are getting better, to the point of <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8o7BRlUL7e0">embarassing the Today show</a> thismorning.</p>
<p>I shall conclude with a smattering of other posts: the Australian troops are being given some <a href="http://hugog.blogspot.com/2006/05/kovco-crackdown-army-bans-soldier.html">odd new rules</a> in the wake of recent scandal, the potential <a href="http://schdp.livejournal.com/62069.html">long-term consequences</a> for Australian foreign policy might not be very palatable, and Needlenose makes an <a href="http://www.needlenose.com/node/view/3006">interesting</a> (albeit hugely oversimplified) point.</p>
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